Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 24.062743 27.342453 30.926937 35.138821 39.957071 45.302333 51.689455
2025-01-12 18.360966 22.605052 27.645044 34.086248 42.121475 51.843234 64.541386
2025-01-19 14.884232 19.550881 25.478482 33.592536 44.462589 58.594567 78.479572
2025-01-26 13.041301 18.095374 24.892475 34.759072 48.812323 68.254768 97.444947
2025-02-02 11.808783 17.184294 24.782438 36.393608 53.848631 79.363612 119.949130
2025-02-09 10.538030 15.987072 24.032404 36.896502 57.180893 88.318522 140.473575
2025-02-16 9.220558 14.512617 22.633740 36.152761 58.398589 94.078807 156.691401
2025-02-23 8.170737 13.299288 21.452207 35.535320 59.637845 99.896636 173.667102
2025-03-02 7.325248 12.298937 20.468378 35.073472 61.002236 105.987701 191.841075
2025-03-09 6.687996 11.561798 19.817674 35.065073 63.091979 113.507975 213.540557
2025-03-16 6.119211 10.871662 19.157891 34.936551 64.907165 120.696118 235.555282
2025-03-23 5.828927 10.638234 19.265705 36.198403 69.424279 133.413456 270.104930
2025-03-30 5.403983 10.128074 18.844585 36.472829 72.200989 143.385556 301.170164
2025-04-06 4.872016 9.359750 17.860471 35.541596 72.481638 148.470530 322.886116
2025-04-13 4.460129 8.776211 17.162678 35.088874 73.666504 155.543287 350.022195
2025-04-20 4.274981 8.620228 17.286175 36.335719 78.598431 171.234508 399.210915
2025-04-27 4.150110 8.571519 17.617714 38.058818 84.792631 190.549764 460.148096
2025-05-04 3.922695 8.282914 17.416990 38.590092 88.366958 204.405267 510.106174
2025-05-11 3.604700 7.766430 16.674624 37.812087 88.793592 210.930838 542.618152
2025-05-18 3.329129 7.314084 16.024000 37.165485 89.444091 218.073844 577.936423
2025-05-25 3.092244 6.923868 15.470826 36.681611 90.426750 226.168703 617.200499
2025-06-01 2.910414 6.640667 15.131442 36.672900 92.600889 237.599551 667.735516
2025-06-08 2.735587 6.356080 14.759294 36.538220 94.431952 248.387772 718.334060